1-seeds
Region: East
Record: 31-3
Tournament ceiling: National championship (Odds: +375)
The last team to win back-to-back national titles, Florida, achieved it with the same nucleus of players: Joakim Noah, Al Horford and Corey Brewer. Reigning national champion UConn lost its key pair last April -- Adama Sanogo and Jordan Hawkins -- but this year's group is just as dominant. The rise of
Donovan Clingan (12.5 PPG, 2.3 BPG) in his second season, the maturation of
Tristen Newton into a likely All-American and projected first-round draft pick
Stephon Castle are providing the fuel coach Dan Hurley needs for a shot at cutting down the nets again. With the trio on the floor in the regular season, UConn registered 120.5 points per 100 possessions (for reference, the Boston Celtics, the NBA's top offense, generate 121.9 points per 100 possessions) and held opponents to 87.2 points per 100 possessions (Houston-like numbers).
Region: South
Record: 30-4
Tournament ceiling: National championship (Odds: +550)
In the past four NCAA tournaments, Kelvin Sampson has led Houston to the Sweet 16 (twice), the Elite Eight and the Final Four. This year's Cougars -- the Big 12 regular-season champions -- are one of the best teams in the country. So what is it about this team that could finally get Sampson a ring? Scoring options.
Jamal Shead is a projected All-American and
J'Wan Roberts is a key veteran. Former Baylor transfer
L.J. Cryer (15.3 PPG, 39.0% from beyond the arc) has added a new dynamic to a defensive juggernaut that held 11 opponents to under 50 points this season, including Kansas in the Big 12 season finale. Between Jan. 13 and March 9, Houston lost only one game, and committed turnovers on just 12.2% of its possessions, per BartTorvik.com.
Region: Midwest
Record: 29-4
Tournament ceiling: National championship (Odds: +700)
In 2018, top seed Virginia fell to 16-seed UMBC in the first round of the NCAA tournament. The following year, the Cavaliers leapt from their No. 30 ranking in adjusted offensive efficiency on KenPom to No. 2 and won the national title. In 2023, top seed Purdue fell to 16-seed Fairleigh Dickinson in the first round of the NCAA tournament. This year, the Boilermakers boast the best offense in America -- especially at the 3-point line (going from 32.2% to 41.0%). Their star, reigning Wooden Award winner
Zach Edey (24.3 PPG, 11.8 RPG), is better too -- Synergy Sports lists him as a "good" defender compared to "average" a year ago, while EvanMiya.com considers him the most "indispensable" player in America. Issues with turnovers remain, but Matt Painter's squad has the talent to mimic history and win a national title, just like Virginia.
Region: West
Record: 27-7
Tournament ceiling: National championship (Odds: +1300)
Hubert Davis had a fabulous debut as a head coach: North Carolina held a double-digit edge over Kansas at halftime of the 2022 national championship game. He then followed it with a dud of a season, missing the 2023 postseason altogether. But this season, the Tar Heels have rediscovered their winning ways, thanks to the return of
Armando Bacot and the elevation of
RJ Davis (21.4 PPG, 40.6% from beyond the arc), one of America's best guards. The ACC regular-season champs weathered a late-season slide but ended on a six-game winning streak, capped by a second win over rival Duke. If
Harrison Ingram can get hot again -- he's shooting 37% from 3 but was 4-for-25 in those final six regular-season games -- Davis and the Tar Heels could finish what they started two years ago.